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Documentation

Premium Docs

Learn how Sabiscore separates evidence quality, model output, and market comparison

Getting Started

  • • Pick a scheduled fixture to see its forecast and evidence
  • • Read the decision state: Withheld, Pass or Play
  • • Open “Inspect evidence” to see what the forecast is based on
  • • Compare the model with the bookmaker's de-vigged price

Key Metrics

  • • Edge: model probability minus the fair market probability; not evidence of value until the model is validated
  • • Outcome probability: the model's estimate, not a certainty
  • • Kelly: the stake fraction, shown only when the backend permits a stake
  • • CLV: closing-line value, reported only at pre-registered sample sizes

Model Performance

  • • Pending live accuracy until sufficient labelled production results exist
  • • Relative RPS gate: candidate must improve over the incumbent — walk-forward evidence live
  • • No public average-edge figure is shown before labelled live outcomes are available
  • • CLV computed against closing-line implied probability only

Technical Stack

  • • Models: hash-verified research artifacts for five required leagues; model certification remains pending
  • • Phase 8: candidate feature intelligence remains shadow-only
  • • Data: 12,765 real completed matches across six leagues (2019–2026), temporally held out by season
  • • Update: Evidence is fetched fresh per request; off-season notice when no fixtures

Sprint 4 — What's New

2026-06-11

Phase 1 — BNN deployment safety

Soft-loading wrapper splits torch implementation from the FastAPI boot path. Backend starts cleanly on Render without GPU wheels.

Phase 2 — canonical 89-feature retrain scaffold

Auto-detects candidate feature availability for shadow evaluation. Candidate must improve RPS over the incumbent — relative gate, walk-forward evidence live.

Phase 3 — Per-league calibration

Isotonic (≥ 2 000 rows) or Platt scaling per league. Ensemble diversity diagnostics prune redundant base learners when draw-F1 is non-degrading.

Phase 4 — UCL stage coverage

competition_stage field surfaced on every fixture — Group · R16 · QF · SF · Final — with colour-coded badges in the match list.

Phase 5 — CLV pre-match UX

CLV label now carries a tooltip explaining it is computed at match end against the Pinnacle closing line. Drift Δ serves as the pre-match market intelligence proxy.

Phase 6 — Interface polish

Mobile hamburger nav, Upcoming Fixtures on the premium home page, Phase 8 panel de-duplicated header, off-season notice wired for both home states.

API Reference

SabiScore exposes a versioned REST API. All routes are prefixed /api/v1.

# Upcoming matches with predictions + value bets
GET /api/v1/upcoming/matches?league=EPL&days_ahead=7&limit=20
# All upcoming fixtures (merged, all leagues)
GET /api/v1/upcoming/all?days=7
# Full match analysis (edge quality, CLV evidence, uncertainty)
GET /api/v1/matches/upcoming/:matchId/full-analysis?league=EPL
# Phase 8 feature intelligence for a match
GET /api/v1/features/phase8?match_id=:id&league=EPL
# Team rolling form + H2H + upcoming fixtures
GET /api/v1/teams/:slug/intelligence
# League off-season status & next season start
GET /api/v1/leagues/:league/offseason-status
# Model health & feature freshness
GET /api/v1/health/ready

Key response fields: edge_quality_score (0–1 composite), competition_stage (UCL group/r16/qf/sf/final), clv_pct (null pre-match; computed against closing odds at kick-off), closing_line_convergence_delta (pre-match market drift proxy), data_gaps (features defaulted due to missing live data), offseason + next_season_start (off-season fixture state).

Data integrity guardrails: shot_quality_diff is permanently DATA_GAP until StatsBomb ATE ≥ 0.02 is confirmed. No synthetic data is injected to mask missing live inputs (Guardrail 1). CLV is always computed against the closing implied probability, never the opening line (Guardrail 11).

Support & Resources

Community

Join our Discord for tips, strategies, and support from fellow bettors.

Updates

Follow us on Twitter for model updates, performance reports, and feature releases.

Contact

Email support@sabiscore.app for technical issues or partnership inquiries.

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